Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths
Established position in the biopharma segment
Biocon is the leading biopharma company in India with a track record of 40 years. In the biopharma segment, the company has presence primarily in India and semi-regulated economies. In the domestic formulations market, it is a biosimilars-focused specialty products company, mainly in chronic therapy areas. The domestic business has multiple divisions such as metabolics, oncology, nephrology, immunotherapy, and comprehensive care. Biocon has strong brands such as Insugen® (rh-insulin), BASALOG™ (insulin glargine), BIOMab-EFGR® (nimotuzumab), BLISTO® (glimepiride + metformin), CANMab (trastuzumab), KABEVA (bevacizumab), Evertor® (everolimus), TACROGRAF™ (tacrolimus), and ALZUMAb™ (itolizumab) across its biosimilar and novel biologic portfolio. It is among the leading players in insulin in Asia, with its global capacities making it a leading insulin producer globally. Biocon also is a leading supplier of complex, small molecule APIs across the cardiovascular, anti-obesity and immuno-suppressants therapeutic areas.
Strong and diversified revenue streams
Revenue is diversified primarily across generics (28% of revenue in first nine months of fiscal 2022), biosimilars (43%), research services (32%), including the inter segment revenue (-4%).
Generics segment degrew by 9% in first nine months of fiscal 2022, due to a muted performance in the first half of the fiscal on account of operational and supply challenges posed by the pandemic, continued pricing pressure in the US for the formulations portfolio as well as a slower than expected ramp up of demand for APIs. Biocon has consolidated its position in this segment through its portfolio of differentiated API including fermentation based, synthetic, high potent and peptides as well as vertically integrated complex formulations and a moderate growth is expected in this segment over medium term.
Biocon’s long-term growth potential is expected to be led by its biosimilar and novel biologics segments, in both semi-regulated and regulated markets. While these segments continue to require large investment for R&D and capex, the company is supported by steady cash flow from all its established business segments – generics, biosimilars and research services. As on December 31, 2021, the company had five approved biosimilar products in Europe and three in US in partnership with Viatris. Semglee® (biosimilar insulin glargine) was launched in the US in August 2020 and is Biocon’s third launch in that market after Fulphila® (biosimilar pegfilgrastin) and Ogivri® (biosimilar trastuzumab). Additionally, Biocon received European Commission approval for Abevmy® (biosimilar bevacizumab) and Kixelle® (biosimilar insulin aspart) in the second half of fiscal 2021. Further, the United States Food and Drug Administration (US FDA) intimation is awaited for site inspection of facilities for biosimilar bevacizumab. For biosimilar aspart, on-site pre-approval US FDA inspection for the company’s Malaysian facility was carried out in September 2021 and commercialisation should happen in due course. The company will also continue to launch its products in other key geographies.
Syngene enhances revenue diversity with its sustained healthy growth and profitability. For the first nine months of fiscal 2022, Syngene accounted for about one-third of the consolidated revenue and operating profit of Biocon. With commercialisation of the recently completed capex and expected ramp-up of operations, Syngene is expected to sustain its operating performance and revenue contribution over the medium term.
Healthy pipeline of biosimilar products
Biocon has strong R&D capability, and has several biosimilars and novel biologic products in development in the diabetes, oncology, and autoimmune therapeutic segments. In partnership with Viatris, Biocon’s biosimilar assets received approvals from various regulators and were launched in regulated and semi-regulated markets. The scaling up of revenue and market share of the key biosimilar assets (trastuzumab, pegfilgrastin and insulin glargine) in the US and Europe and successful launch of biosimilars bevacizumab and insulin aspart will be the key monitorables.
Strong financial risk profile
Adjusted gearing was healthy at ~0.6 time as on December 31, 2021, and interest coverage and net cash accrual to total debt ratios were healthy at 26.7 times and 0.3 time, respectively, for the first nine months of fiscal 2022. The company completed a series of fund-raising rounds at its subsidiary, BBL, in the past two fiscals and built up healthy cash and liquid investments of Rs 3,197 crore as on December 31, 2021, which will be utilised to partly fund capex and R&D. Biocon, BBL and Syngene plan large annual capex of USD 80-100 million each over the medium term. Biocon plans capex for operationalising its immunosuppressants and API facilities; BBL will undertake capex for commercialising a monoclonal antibodies facility and towards R&D for building a product pipeline; Syngene will increase capacity of its research and API manufacturing facilities. Given the consolidated net cash accrual of over Rs 1,500 crore per fiscal, strong liquidity, and part funding of capex in biosimilars by Viatris, the financial risk profile will likely remain strong over the medium term.
Weaknesses
Uncertainty regarding payoffs in the R&D-driven model in biosimilars and novel biologic segments, especially for regulated markets
The company will continue to spend extensively on R&D for developing new molecules and biosimilars, particularly for the US and Europe. It remains exposed to long gestation period and uncertainty regarding timing and extent of returns on investments on new molecules given the nature of the drug discovery model. Gross R&D and net R&D (net of capitalisation) were 12% and 10%, respectively, of operating revenue excluding Syngene, for the first nine months of fiscal 2022 (13% and 11%, respectively, in fiscal 2021). The R&D expenditure will increase over the medium term, driven by expenses on clinical trials and R&D to build a robust product pipeline. The uncertainty regarding revenue visibility and return on the R&D expense exposes the company to investment risk. However, it has achieved critical milestones in previous fiscals with approvals for biosimilars and launch in regulated and semi-regulated markets in partnership with Viatris, leading to strong revenue growth. The extent of ramp up, particularly in the regulated markets, will be a key monitorable.
Susceptibility to regulatory uncertainties and intense competition
Regulatory risks are manifested in increasing scrutiny and inspections by regulatory authorities, including the US FDA, European Medical Agency, and those in Asian and Latin American markets.
The company faces intense competition in the regulated markets, which is characterised by aggressive defence tactics by innovator companies through introduction of authorised generics, and the presence of several cost-competitive Indian players. In the branded formulations segment, additions to lists under Drug Price Control Order impact product pricing and profitability.